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OPIS SPOT TICKER METHODOLOGY
The OPIS Spot Ticker is an interactive tool that offers real-time updates of
OPIS spot prices and cash market trading differentials in major U.S. markets, along
with news and events impacting prices.
Spot prices and cash basis differentials for all major refined products - plus Gulf
Coast spot alkylate - at all key refined product trading centers are made available
daily via the OPIS Spot Ticker. Markets include the Gulf Coast Colonial Pipeline
and Waterborne barrels, New York Harbor, Buckeye Pipeline, Laurel Pipeline, Group
3, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco and the Pacific Northwest.
The OPIS Spot Ticker is the first innovation of its kind that offers daily, up-to-the
second market discovery of spot prices by linking cash trading differentials directly
to the NYMEX as deals are actually taking place.
Here’s what you need to know:
Spot market products, like unleaded gasoline, RBOB and heating oil, trade at a cash
basis differential to the futures market. These cash basis differentials can change
dramatically throughout each trading day depending on market conditions such as
supply availability, refinery operations and current events.
Cash basis differentials are expressed as a premium, or plus amount, to the NYMEX
(during times of tight supply); other times they are expressed as a discount, or
minus amount, to the NYMEX (during times of excess supply). Simply stated, this
cash difference to the NYMEX is called a "basis" spread.
Keep in mind that the NYMEX futures market - the benchmark against which differentials
are based - is also changing as oil is being bought and sold in the spot or futures
markets.
The link between the changing cash basis differentials and the changing NYMEX helps
determine the actual cash price of refined products.
The OPIS Spot Ticker provides this vital link.
The actual spot cash price is critical in determining a company's future cost of
fuel. This price expresses how refiners, traders, large end-users, independent wholesalers,
and others value fuel on a day-to-day basis, so you can gauge whether prices will
be rising or falling.
Here's how the OPIS Spot Ticker works:
OPIS editors begin updating cash trading differentials each day as spot products
begin to trade and values are defined, usually starting at approximately 9:00 am
Eastern Time.
Cash basis differentials are updated as the OPIS spot group verifies and confirms
market changes. They are immediately put into our database and made available to
you.
Throughout the trading day, the OPIS Spot Ticker provides several pieces of important
spot pricing information for you:
- the specific product (e.g. unleaded gasoline)
- the cash basis differential versus the NYMEX
- the implied spot price (e.g. 1.80cts/gal)
- the change in spot price from prior day (e.g. +5cts)
A product’s spot price is a key when determining the next day’s fuel price. A rise
or drop in spot prices almost always translates into higher or lower wholesale costs.
With today’s wild regional fuel price swings, you can’t depend on your NYMEX futures
screen. Your OPIS Spot Ticker allows you to buy and sell fuel smarter.
The OPIS Spot Ticker also provides key news alerts that explain what’s driving market
prices, while the cash basis differentials and the NYMEX change throughout the day.
In addition, OPIS provides two key market reports for the east of the Rockies Markets:
1) Midday Market Overview - a snapshot of midday activity based on a late-morning
NYMEX freeze; and 2) Evening Market Overview - encompasses the full-day trading
range, including the low, high, last, market mean and a volume-weighted average
for certain products.
For West Coast price discovery, OPIS offers a preview of early morning activity
and a full-day West Coast Spot Markets Report.
Lastly, confirmed deals are posted throughout the day on the OPIS Deal Log. This
gives the market open price discovery plus predictability as to where our editors
will call their full-day differential ranges. Products for which OPIS assigns volume-weighted
averages include confirmed volume levels throughout the day.
The OPIS Spot Ticker displays values for prompt timing in the East of the Rockies
markets based on schedules and trading practices specific to each region. Gulf Coast
Colonial Pipeline, Group 3, Chicago, Buckeye and Laurel assessments reflect pipeline
quantity and quality. Gulf Coast alkylate is a prompt waterborne assessment. Gulf
Coast prompt waterborne assessments reflect a minimum barge size of 50,000 bbl.
New York Harbor assessments reflect a minimum barge size of 10,000 bbl. OPIS concurrently
rolls all premium blends and specialty gasoline grades that typically trade as "regrades"
to basis products, such as conventional unleaded regular, so that timing references
are consistent.
New York Harbor, Buckeye Pipeline and Laurel Pipeline gasoline trade against the
new NYMEX RBOB contract. Los Angeles spot gasoline also trades against the same
NYMEX RBOB contract. During the fourth quarter of 2006, Gulf Coast, Group 3 and
Chicago gasoline deals were mostly indexed against the outgoing NYMEX RFG contracts.
With the national phase out of MTBE from gasoline, all spot deals displayed on the
OPIS Spot Ticker will be indexed against the NYMEX RBOB contract effective January
2007.
All West Coast spot indicator quotes are pipeline quantity, with the exception of
the jet quote for the Pacific Northwest, which is FOB Seattle barge. OPIS does not
reflect any West Coast waterborne quotes (except for jet fuel in Seattle). Most
pipeline deals reflect a minimum 10,000 bbl quantity in California and 5,000 bbl
in the Pacific Northwest. Also, all quotes are for prompt lifting, meaning that
the barrels will be secured within 7-10 business days.
West Coast gasoline, in all three bulk markets, trades against the NYMEX RBOB contract.
Also, California price assessments are for the “any” month timing. There are four
cycles throughout the month. California offers a “buyers-option” in which the buyer
of the product can take delivery on any of these four cycles. While the Los Angeles
market will show a cycle, it is purely to denote which cycle is currently prompt.
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